Cyclone Tej, the 12th cyclone to emerge in the Arabian Sea in October since 1982, has sparked conversations regarding its potential impact on Pune. However, Dr. Vineet Kumar Singh, a distinguished research scientist at Jeju National University in South Korea, has clarified that this impending cyclonic storm is not poised to affect Pune or the western coast of India. Here’s the comprehensive breakdown of the situation.
Understanding Cyclone Tej’s Trajectory
Contrary to certain reports, Cyclone Tej is currently tracking in a west-northwest direction towards Oman and Yemen. This trajectory suggests that the cyclonic storm is veering away from Pune and the entire west coast of India, reducing the chances of any impact.
Unique Characteristics and Rapid Intensification
Dr. Singh elucidated the distinctive characteristics contributing to Cyclone Tej’s growth. The cyclone is currently undergoing rapid intensification, mainly fueled by the exceptionally warm sea surface temperatures. These temperatures, approximately 2-3 degrees above normal levels, have created an environment conducive to its strengthening. Additionally, Cyclone Tej exhibits high ocean heat content along its projected path, low wind shear, and robust poleward outflow, all factors that boost its development.
Cyclone Tej’s Historical Context
This event carries a historical significance as the 12th cyclone in the Arabian Sea for the month of October since 1982. Furthermore, it marks the first cyclone of the post-monsoon season in the Arabian Sea, making it a noteworthy occurrence. The region last witnessed an October cyclone in 2019.
Anticipating Cyclone Tej’s Strength
Dr. Vineet Kumar Singh’s insights indicate that Cyclone Tej is on a trajectory to intensify into a Category 3 cyclone, characterized by wind speeds of up to 185 kmph, by the following evening. This forecast underscores the significance of tracking the cyclone’s path and strength to ensure preparedness and safety in regions that may be directly impacted.
The Bottom Line for Pune and Beyond
In conclusion, Cyclone Tej’s current path indicates that Pune and the western coast of India are not under immediate threat. However, the situation is dynamic, and staying informed about the cyclone’s developments remains crucial, especially for those residing in regions potentially in its trajectory.
