On the Brink: Exit Polls Offer Clues to Political Fortunes in Five Indian States

India: As the assembly election results for Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, and Mizoram are set to be revealed on Sunday, December 3, several media outlets have released their exit poll predictions. These polls, conducted immediately after voters cast their ballots, aim to provide a snapshot of the likely electoral landscape, offering a crucial indicator of public sentiment leading up to the general assembly elections in 2024.

While exit polls have historically been subject to discrepancies, they remain an influential factor in shaping public perception and expectations.

Madhya Pradesh Predictions:

  • Jan Ki Baat: BJP 100-123 seats, Congress 102-125 seats.
  • Republic TV-Matrize: BJP 118-130 seats, Congress 97-107 seats.
  • TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat: BJP 106-116 seats, Congress 111-121 seats.
  • Today’s Chanakya: BJP 151 seats (+/- 12), Congress 74 seats (+/- 12).
  • Jist-TIF-NAI: Congress 107-124 seats, BJP 102-119 seats.

Rajasthan Predictions:

  • India Today-Axis My India: Congress 86-106 seats, BJP 80-100 seats, Others 9-18 seats.
  • Jan Ki Baat: BJP 100-122 seats, Congress 62-85 seats.
  • TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat: BJP 100-110 seats, Congress 90-100 seats.
  • Times Now ETG: BJP 108-128 seats, Congress 56-72 seats.
  • Jist-TIF-NAI: BJP 110 seats, Congress 70 seats.

Chhattisgarh Predictions:

  • ABP News-C Voter: BJP 36-48 seats, Congress 41-53 seats.
  • India Today-Axis My India: BJP 36-46 seats, Congress 40-50 seats.
  • India TV-CNX: BJP 30-40 seats, Congress 46-56 seats.
  • Jan Ki Baat: BJP 34-45 seats, Congress 42-53 seats.
  • Today’s Chanakya: BJP 33 seats (+/- 8), Congress 57 seats (+/- 8).

Telangana Predictions:

  • India TV-CNX: Congress 63-79 seats, BRS 31-47 seats, BJP 2-4 seats, AIMIM 5-7 seats.
  • Jan Ki Baat: Congress 48-64 seats, BRS 40-55 seats, BJP 7-13 seats, AIMIM 4-7 seats.
  • Republic TV-Matrize: Congress 58-68 seats, BRS 46-56 seats, BJP 4-9 seats, AIMIM 5-9 seats.
  • TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat: Congress 49-59 seats, BRS 48-58 seats.

Mizoram Predictions:

  • India TV-CNX: MNF 14-18 seats, ZPM 12-16 seats, Congress 8-10 seats, BJP 0-2 seats.
  • ABP News-C Voter: MNF 15-21 seats, ZPM 12-18 seats, Congress 2-8 seats.
  • Jan Ki Baat: MNF 10-14 seats, ZPM 15-25 seats, Congress 5-9 seats, BJP 0-2 seats.

While these predictions offer an initial glimpse into the potential outcomes, the true results will be disclosed on Sunday, shaping the political landscape in these five states.

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