As the India Meteorological Department (IMD) commemorates its 150th anniversary, it is embarking on a transformative journey to enhance weather forecasting through the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and more powerful supercomputers. Despite recent challenges in predicting small-scale severe weather events, the IMD is optimistic about leveraging cutting-edge technologies to refine its models.
The IMD’s Director General, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, revealed plans for establishing test beds in Odisha and Madhya Pradesh to comprehend the intricate processes leading to thunderstorms and heavy monsoon rains. These initiatives aim to bolster forecasting accuracy and better equip the IMD in its mission to provide timely and precise weather information.
IMD’s Pioneering Steps in AI and Machine Learning
In an interview with PTI, Mr. Mohapatra highlighted the significance of utilizing historical weather data, digitized since 1901, to develop forecasting tools through AI and machine learning (ML). He emphasized the potential of AI in improving nowcasts, short to medium-range forecasts, and the overall accuracy of weather models.
Collaborating with academic and research institutions, including NITs, IITs, and IIITs, the IMD is forming an expert group on AI-ML. The goal is to jointly create tools that enhance forecast accuracy and find applications in various sectors.
Upgrading High-Performance Computing for Precision Models
Mr. Mohapatra announced plans to upgrade the IMD’s high-performance computing systems, increasing capacity from 10 petaflops to 30 petaflops. This upgrade will enhance numerical modeling capabilities, enabling the generation of more sector-specific and location-specific information. The resolution of weather models will improve, targeting a reduction from 12 kilometers to six kilometers.
Admitting Challenges and Encouraging Criticism
While celebrating the IMD’s progress over 150 years, Mr. Mohapatra acknowledged challenges, particularly in predicting phenomena like cloudbursts and small-scale severe weather events. He encouraged constructive criticism, emphasizing the importance of learning from mistakes to enhance the forecasting system.
As the IMD’s 150th-anniversary celebrations kick off, the incorporation of AI and advanced computing reflects a commitment to evolving with the times and meeting the growing demands for accurate weather predictions.
